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Scotland's population projected to peak in 2028 - Perthshire Chamber of Commerce

Scotland's population projected to peak in 2028

Scotland's population looks likely to fall after reaching a peak in 2028, according to research by National Records of Scotland (NRS).

The records authority believes that the population will rise slightly to 5.48m in 2028 before falling to 5.39m by 2045.

The first projections for several years show a trend for lower birth rates as the catalyst for the drop.

There are currently 5.47m people living in Scotland.

Looking at past trends in births, deaths and migration, NRS predicts that by 2045 there will be 200,000 fewer children (a fall of 22%) and 300,000 more people over 65 (an increase of 30%).

If the projections from NRS are realised, Scotland's population will fall by 1.5% over the next 25 years, while the UK population will grow by 5.8%.

The NRS report is based on data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS).


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